What the product cannot establish
Use every signal with its boundary attached.
Polytrack can organize monitored activity and make investigation faster, but it cannot prove who controls a wallet, why a trade occurred, whether information was public, whether accounts coordinated, or what a market will do next. Coverage depends on upstream interfaces and Polytrack ingestion. Metrics are snapshots or aggregates over that monitored subset, and Telegram is a best-effort delivery layer—not an execution feed or trading system.
Reviewed July 14, 2026
Coverage is useful without being complete.
Polytrack stores trades its monitor receives and processes. Network interruptions, API behavior, pagination, deployment state, validation, late events, and source corrections can create gaps. Historical panels and rankings therefore describe Polytrack coverage, not a complete ledger of Polymarket.
An empty result can mean no matching monitored record, no available upstream row, a temporary failure, or a filter that excluded data. It should not be interpreted automatically as no activity.
A wallet is not a person.
A wallet may be controlled by an individual, team, service, contract, proxy, or changing group of operators. Public profile fields and private watchlist labels can help organize research but do not authenticate legal identity, geography, affiliation, or beneficial ownership.
Similarity in timing, direction, or market choice does not by itself prove coordination. Polytrack can surface a pattern for review; it cannot establish the relationship behind that pattern.
Severity is prioritization, not accusation.
LOW, MEDIUM, and HIGH are classifier outputs based on configured activity signals. They are not calibrated probabilities of wrongdoing, private knowledge, market accuracy, or investment return. A HIGH event can have an ordinary explanation, and a meaningful event can fall outside the conditions Polytrack monitors.
Category sensitivity and alert reasons add context but remain classifications. They should be checked against the market, source record, wallet history, liquidity, and later activity.
Prices, positions, PnL, and ranks move.
Position value and PnL fields can change with price, fills, transfers, settlement, redemption, source methodology, and the time of a request. A leaderboard average can be dominated by a small number of trades. A volume rank does not account for capital, age, hedges, risk, or activity outside the monitored dataset.
A displayed orderbook or price is an observation, with no assurance that the same liquidity remains available. Polytrack does not execute an order or verify fillability.
Freshness and alert delivery have multiple dependencies.
A trade must become available upstream, be received, processed, stored, evaluated, and selected before an alert attempt can occur. Network state, deployments, rate limits, Telegram, and the user's bot and chat configuration add further dependencies. Polytrack does not promise a fixed end-to-end alert delay or uninterrupted delivery.
A dashboard refresh can retrieve newer context than an earlier alert. That does not mean the earlier message was a synchronized snapshot of every source.
Research is not financial, legal, or compliance advice.
Polytrack does not place trades, hold funds, manage portfolios, promise outcomes, or determine whether activity is lawful. Users remain responsible for verifying source data, understanding market rules, assessing risk, and obtaining qualified advice where needed.
Prediction markets can be volatile, illiquid, jurisdiction-sensitive, and subject to resolution or platform rules. A useful signal can still lead to a loss or an incorrect conclusion.
Sources and provenance
Follow the definitions to their source.
External links point to primary documentation. Internal links identify the Polytrack page that defines the visible claim or boundary.
Frequently asked questions
The short version of the boundary.
Can Polytrack confirm that two wallets belong to one trader?
No. Similar activity can be surfaced as context, but wallet control and beneficial ownership are not verified by Polytrack.
Can a monitored trade be missing?
Yes. Upstream availability, ingestion, validation, processing, filters, and later corrections can all affect coverage.
Does a top leaderboard rank mean best performance?
No. The public definition is activity-based within a monitored window and candidate set. It is not a complete or risk-adjusted performance ranking.
Can I rely on an alert to trade immediately?
No. Alerts are best-effort research notices with several delivery dependencies. Market conditions may have changed before a message arrives or is read.
Use the definitions beside the product.
Open the public tools guide or continue into the monitored dashboard.